EA-20629 · Trend Following

Exp_Sar_Tm_Plus

This EA trades based on the Parabolic SAR indicator with time filtering and additional enhancements. It enters positions when the SAR reverses direction, confirming a trend change, and uses time-based session filters to restrict trading to specific hours. The 'Plus' variant likely adds trailing stops, money management, or multi-confirmation logic on top of the base SAR strategy.

Open the interactive view (equity curve, symbol switch)

Key facts

RiskMedium
Blow-up riskLow
Rating★★★☆☆
TypeTrading EA
TimeframesM15, H1, H4
IndicatorsParabolic SAR
AuthorCopyright © 2017, Nikolay Kositsin

Backtest results (H1, about 1 year)

SymbolP&LAnnualMax DDTradesWin rateSharpeRecoveryLosing streakPer tradeStatus
EURUSD+14.34%+12.35%1.98%13158.00%3.247.246+$10.94Reliable
GBPUSD-1.25%-1.09%6.16%13347.40%-0.17-0.208−$0.94Reliable
USDJPY+4.35%+3.77%3.25%13448.10%0.821.346+$3.16Reliable
XAUUSD-49.55%-43.18%76.94%14149.30%0.08-0.646−$33.62Reliable

Profitable on 2 of 4 markets with reliable results.

Converted from MQL5 to Python and run with the same rules for every EA. Positions use MT5 lot sizes (100,000 units per FX lot, 100 oz per gold lot) with 1:100 leverage, one order at a time, and a stop-out below 10% of the starting balance. Sharpe is computed from the equity curve. Results marked as unreliable are shown for completeness only.

Against the other Trend Following EAs with a reliable result on the same market: EURUSD: better than 97% of 95 · GBPUSD: better than 37% of 95 · USDJPY: better than 91% of 95 · XAUUSD: better than 23% of 96

Month by month

MarketMonths with a gainBest monthWorst month
EURUSD100%+2.60% 2026-02+0.18% 2026-10
GBPUSD46%+2.87% 2026-02-2.90% 2026-03
USDJPY54%+3.69% 2026-01-1.53% 2026-08
XAUUSD38%+38.21% 2026-07-40.72% 2026-01

From the backtest equity curve, sampled about every two days; only reliable results.

Blow-up risk: No blow-up pattern found

None of the usual blow-up patterns were found in the code, and the account was not stopped out in our backtests. That is not a guarantee: any EA can lose money.

High: stopped out in our backtest, or martingale/grid sizing without a stop loss. Elevated: martingale or grid sizing with a stop loss, or several positions at once without a stop loss. What the label means and what we found →

Strategy analysis

The strategy core relies on Parabolic SAR reversal signals, going long when SAR flips from above to below price and short on the opposite. Entry conditions require SAR direction reversal to confirm trend initiation, combined with a time filter that restricts trading to designated sessions. Exit conditions include SAR re-reversal, fixed stop-loss/take-profit levels, or a trailing stop mechanism. Position sizing may use fixed lots or dynamic lot calculation based on account balance. Money management in the Plus variant likely incorporates risk percentage control and maximum position limits. The overall approach is a classic trend-following system dependent on SAR to capture trend onset points, though SAR tends to generate frequent false signals in ranging markets leading to consecutive losses.

Strengths

  • SAR indicator logic is clear and unambiguous, well-suited for systematic execution
  • Time filtering effectively avoids low-liquidity sessions and major news events, reducing slippage and false signals
  • The Plus variant adds stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stop for better risk control than the base version

Weaknesses

  • Parabolic SAR frequently reverses in ranging markets, generating numerous false signals and consecutive losses
  • Reliance on a single indicator lacks multi-dimensional confirmation, limiting trend identification reliability
  • Fixed lot sizing cannot adapt risk exposure based on market volatility

Possible improvements

  • Add ADX or ATR as a trend strength filter to reduce ineffective trades during ranging markets
  • Introduce dynamic position sizing that automatically adjusts lots based on ATR volatility or account risk percentage

Risk assessment

Overall risk: Medium

  • SAR consecutive false signals in ranging markets can accumulate losses through multiple stop-outs
  • Stop-loss set to 0 creates unlimited loss potential
  • Time filtering reduces trade frequency but cannot filter ranging conditions within allowed sessions

Evaluation scores

Code quality3.0
Strategy logic3.0
Risk management3.0
Robustness2.0
Innovation2.0
Documentation2.0
Overall2.5

Parameters

ParameterDefaultDescription
SAR_Step0.02SAR acceleration factor step
SAR_Maximum0.2SAR acceleration factor maximum
TimeStart08:00Trading start time
TimeEnd20:00Trading end time
Lots0.1Fixed trading lot size
StopLoss0Stop loss in points, 0 means no stop
TakeProfit0Take profit in points, 0 means no take
TrailingStop0Trailing stop in points, 0 to disable
MagicNumber12345EA magic number to identify its orders

Similar Trend Following EAs

Backtests are historical simulations and do not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Get the weekly Arena report

One email a week: ranking changes, new signals and new research. No spam; unsubscribe any time.