Sell-off (auto) Ether

Ether sell-off, September 2026

This page was generated automatically. Our scan flagged Ether on 2026-11-08 after its close fell 20% or more below its trailing 60-day high. The measured move runs from 2026-09-21 to 2026-11-10 and the sell-off had not yet ended at the latest data. We have not written up the background yet.

Window found by the automatic scan: 2026-09-21 to 2026-11-10.

Market move-26.2%2026-09-21 to 2026-11-10
Window50 trading days
Back at the prior peakNot yet
Next 3 months—63 trading days after the end
Strategies lost less98%55 / 56
Already out going in50%28 / 56

Price around the event

65%74%83%92%102%2026-082026-092026-102026-11
Ether · window start = 100%; shaded = event window; from 60 trading days before to 120 after

How the strategies did

Of 56 rule-based strategies with a curve on Ether, 28 (50%) were already out of the market going in. 55 (98%) lost less than the market (-26.2%), 6 (11%) finished the window with a gain, and the median strategy returned -9.9%. Strategies that were in the market returned a median -13.3%; those that were already out returned -3.8%.

FamilyStrategiesAlready outMedian returnLost less than the market
Trend2421%-11.5%96%
Momentum450%-10.0%100%
Mean reversion14100%-6.1%100%
Volatility633%-9.7%100%
Regime & other862%-3.7%100%

56 of 72 strategies have a curve on Ether. Portfolio, basket and multi-asset strategies without one are excluded.

All strategies on Ether

StrategyFamilyReturn in windowIn the market going in?Max drawdown in windowNext 3 months
TAIL-01 Crisis AlphaRegime & other+20.0%Out0.0%—
MR-01 RSI Mean ReversionMean reversion+13.7%Out-0.8%—
CAL-01 Turn of MonthRegime & other+9.1%Out-1.4%—
MR-06 Z-Score Mean ReversionMean reversion+7.7%Out-1.1%—
MR-15 Ultimate OscillatorMean reversion+4.5%Out-5.7%—
TREND-14 Linear Regression ChannelTrend+0.8%Out-7.9%—
COMBO-02 MACD + RSI FilterMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
COMBO-03 Divergence StrategyRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-11 Momentum Crash ProtectionMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-13 TRIX ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
REG-01 Regime SwitchRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-19 Elder Triple ScreenTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-20 Vortex IndicatorTrend-2.4%In-3.9%—
COMBO-04 Trend + Mean Reversion HybridTrend-2.6%Out-8.5%—
MR-02 Bollinger Band ReversionMean reversion-3.3%Out-3.8%—
MR-03 Kalman Filter Mean ReversionMean reversion-4.2%Out-8.3%—
VOL-10 Volatility Risk PremiumVolatility-4.6%Out-4.6%—
RP-01 Volatility TargetVolatility-5.9%In-5.9%—
MR-05 CCI Mean ReversionMean reversion-5.9%Out-10.0%—
MR-04 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Mean ReversionMean reversion-6.3%Out-9.3%—
MR-16 Connors RSIMean reversion-7.0%Out-7.0%—
KC-01 Keltner Channel BreakoutTrend-7.3%Out-7.3%—
TREND-11 Kaufman Adaptive Moving AverageTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TURTLE-01 Turtle TradingTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
RISK-03 Stop Loss OverlayRegime & other-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-16 Aroon IndicatorTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
VOL-01 Volatility BreakoutVolatility-8.5%In-8.5%—
SEAS-01 Monthly SeasonalityRegime & other-9.8%Out-15.4%—
MR-10 Stochastic Oscillator ReversionMean reversion-9.9%Out-10.6%—
MR-07 Hurst-Filtered Mean ReversionMean reversion-10.0%Out-12.5%—
MR-14 Detrended Price OscillatorMean reversion-10.3%Out-10.8%—
TREND-18 Coppock CurveTrend-10.5%In-11.0%—
REG-10 HMM Regime DetectionRegime & other-10.5%In-11.0%—
MR-11 Williams %R ReversionMean reversion-10.7%Out-12.5%—
COMBO-01 Bollinger-Keltner SqueezeVolatility-10.9%Out-10.9%—
VOL-13 Volatility Regime StrategyVolatility-11.0%In-11.0%—
SUPER-01 SupertrendTrend-11.0%In-11.0%—
TREND-02 Donchian BreakoutTrend-11.0%In-11.0%—
HMA-01 HMA CrossoverTrend-11.0%In-11.1%—
MR-12 Money Flow Index ReversionMean reversion-11.7%Out-14.3%—
TREND-10 Ichimoku CloudTrend-12.0%In-12.0%—
RISK-04 Trailing Stop StrategyTrend-14.7%In-14.7%—
TREND-12 MACD StrategyTrend-15.2%In-15.2%—
REG-14 Volatility Regime SwitchVolatility-16.9%In-16.9%—
MOM-01 Time-Series MomentumTrend-18.1%Out-19.1%—
TREND-17 Chandelier ExitTrend-18.1%In-18.1%—
SAR-01 Parabolic SARTrend-18.8%In-18.8%—
TREND-15 Darvas BoxTrend-19.0%In-19.0%—
MOM-10 Accelerating MomentumTrend-19.2%In-19.2%—
MOM-03 52-Week High MomentumMomentum-19.9%In-20.4%—
ADX-01 ADX Trend FilterTrend-20.8%In-20.8%—
RISK-01 Drawdown ControlRegime & other-21.0%In-21.0%—
TREND-13 Triple Moving AverageTrend-26.2%In-26.2%—
MOM-06 Residual MomentumMomentum-26.2%In-26.2%—
TREND-05 Dual Moving AverageTrend-26.2%In-26.2%—
EVENT-01 Trend + Macro FilterTrend-31.2%In-31.2%—

Sorted by return in the window, best first. "In the market" is inferred from the equity curve (see method). Next 3 months = 63 trading days after the window end.

All event replays · Today's regime on Ether

Method: windows are snapped to the price data, returns come from the published equity curves before costs, and "already out" is inferred from the curve. See the method on the hub page. Historical, descriptive statistics before trading costs. Not a forecast and not investment advice.

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