Sell-off (auto) Gold

Gold sell-off, August 2026

This page was generated automatically. Our scan flagged Gold on 2026-09-01 after its close fell 5% or more below its trailing 60-day high. The measured move runs from 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-01. We have not written up the background yet.

Window found by the automatic scan: 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-01.

Market move-7.3%2026-08-25 to 2026-09-01
Window5 trading days
Back at the prior peakNot yet
Next 3 months—63 trading days after the end
Strategies lost less91%51 / 56
Already out going in46%26 / 56

Price around the event

82%87%92%96%101%2026-062026-072026-082026-092026-102026-11
Gold · window start = 100%; shaded = event window; from 60 trading days before to 120 after

How the strategies did

Of 56 rule-based strategies with a curve on Gold, 26 (46%) were already out of the market going in. 51 (91%) lost less than the market (-7.3%), 0 (0%) finished the window with a gain, and the median strategy returned -2.0%. Strategies that were in the market returned a median -5.7%; those that were already out returned 0.0%.

FamilyStrategiesAlready outMedian returnLost less than the market
Trend2421%-4.6%79%
Momentum450%-2.5%100%
Mean reversion1493%0.0%100%
Volatility617%-3.1%100%
Regime & other862%-1.9%100%

56 of 72 strategies have a curve on Gold. Portfolio, basket and multi-asset strategies without one are excluded.

All strategies on Gold

StrategyFamilyReturn in windowIn the market going in?Max drawdown in windowNext 3 months
COMBO-03 Divergence StrategyRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
COMBO-04 Trend + Mean Reversion HybridTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
EVENT-01 Trend + Macro FilterTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-03 52-Week High MomentumMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-06 Residual MomentumMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-01 RSI Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-02 Bollinger Band ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-03 Kalman Filter Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-04 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-05 CCI Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-06 Z-Score Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-07 Hurst-Filtered Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-10 Stochastic Oscillator ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-11 Williams %R ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-12 Money Flow Index ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-13 TRIX ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-15 Ultimate OscillatorMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-16 Connors RSIMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
REG-01 Regime SwitchRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
SEAS-01 Monthly SeasonalityRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
TAIL-01 Crisis AlphaRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-05 Dual Moving AverageTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-13 Triple Moving AverageTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-19 Elder Triple ScreenTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
VOL-10 Volatility Risk PremiumVolatility0.0%Out0.0%—
HMA-01 HMA CrossoverTrend-1.3%In-1.6%—
MR-14 Detrended Price OscillatorMean reversion-1.6%In-1.6%—
VOL-01 Volatility BreakoutVolatility-1.6%In-1.6%—
RP-01 Volatility TargetVolatility-2.4%In-2.4%—
VOL-13 Volatility Regime StrategyVolatility-3.7%In-3.7%—
RISK-01 Drawdown ControlRegime & other-3.9%In-3.9%—
SAR-01 Parabolic SARTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
RISK-04 Trailing Stop StrategyTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
TREND-11 Kaufman Adaptive Moving AverageTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
KC-01 Keltner Channel BreakoutTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
TREND-14 Linear Regression ChannelTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
SUPER-01 SupertrendTrend-4.5%In-4.5%—
COMBO-01 Bollinger-Keltner SqueezeVolatility-4.5%In-4.5%—
MOM-10 Accelerating MomentumTrend-4.8%In-4.8%—
MOM-11 Momentum Crash ProtectionMomentum-5.0%In-5.0%—
CAL-01 Turn of MonthRegime & other-5.8%Out-6.1%—
REG-14 Volatility Regime SwitchVolatility-6.3%In-6.3%—
TREND-17 Chandelier ExitTrend-7.2%In-7.2%—
REG-10 HMM Regime DetectionRegime & other-7.3%In-7.3%—
RISK-03 Stop Loss OverlayRegime & other-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-10 Ichimoku CloudTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-18 Coppock CurveTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-12 MACD StrategyTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
COMBO-02 MACD + RSI FilterMomentum-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-16 Aroon IndicatorTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
MOM-01 Time-Series MomentumTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-20 Vortex IndicatorTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-02 Donchian BreakoutTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TREND-15 Darvas BoxTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
TURTLE-01 Turtle TradingTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—
ADX-01 ADX Trend FilterTrend-7.3%In-7.3%—

Sorted by return in the window, best first. "In the market" is inferred from the equity curve (see method). Next 3 months = 63 trading days after the window end.

All event replays · Today's regime on Gold

Method: windows are snapped to the price data, returns come from the published equity curves before costs, and "already out" is inferred from the curve. See the method on the hub page. Historical, descriptive statistics before trading costs. Not a forecast and not investment advice.

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