Sell-off (auto) Silver

Silver sell-off, August 2026

This page was generated automatically. Our scan flagged Silver on 2026-09-28 after its close fell 10% or more below its trailing 60-day high. The measured move runs from 2026-08-27 to 2026-10-30 and the sell-off had not yet ended at the latest data. We have not written up the background yet.

Window found by the automatic scan: 2026-08-27 to 2026-10-30.

Market move-28.9%2026-08-27 to 2026-10-30
Window45 trading days
Back at the prior peakNot yet
Next 3 months—63 trading days after the end
Strategies lost less100%56 / 56
Already out going in55%31 / 56

Price around the event

69%79%90%100%110%2026-072026-082026-092026-102026-11
Silver · window start = 100%; shaded = event window; from 60 trading days before to 120 after

How the strategies did

Of 56 rule-based strategies with a curve on Silver, 31 (55%) were already out of the market going in. 56 (100%) lost less than the market (-28.9%), 3 (5%) finished the window with a gain, and the median strategy returned -6.3%. Strategies that were in the market returned a median -8.7%; those that were already out returned 0.0%.

FamilyStrategiesAlready outMedian returnLost less than the market
Trend2433%-8.0%100%
Momentum4100%0.0%100%
Mean reversion1493%-11.4%100%
Volatility633%-6.3%100%
Regime & other850%-1.6%100%

56 of 72 strategies have a curve on Silver. Portfolio, basket and multi-asset strategies without one are excluded.

All strategies on Silver

StrategyFamilyReturn in windowIn the market going in?Max drawdown in windowNext 3 months
TAIL-01 Crisis AlphaRegime & other+36.5%In-6.6%—
TREND-14 Linear Regression ChannelTrend+11.1%In-9.3%—
MR-16 Connors RSIMean reversion+3.4%Out0.0%—
ADX-01 ADX Trend FilterTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
COMBO-03 Divergence StrategyRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
COMBO-04 Trend + Mean Reversion HybridTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
EVENT-01 Trend + Macro FilterTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-03 52-Week High MomentumMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-06 Residual MomentumMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MOM-11 Momentum Crash ProtectionMomentum0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-06 Z-Score Mean ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-13 TRIX ReversionMean reversion0.0%Out0.0%—
REG-01 Regime SwitchRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
SEAS-01 Monthly SeasonalityRegime & other0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-02 Donchian BreakoutTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-05 Dual Moving AverageTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-10 Ichimoku CloudTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-13 Triple Moving AverageTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
TREND-19 Elder Triple ScreenTrend0.0%Out0.0%—
VOL-01 Volatility BreakoutVolatility0.0%Out0.0%—
VOL-10 Volatility Risk PremiumVolatility0.0%Out0.0%—
MR-01 RSI Mean ReversionMean reversion-0.7%Out-5.7%—
MR-02 Bollinger Band ReversionMean reversion-2.3%Out-6.9%—
RISK-01 Drawdown ControlRegime & other-3.2%In-3.2%—
COMBO-02 MACD + RSI FilterMomentum-4.2%Out-4.2%—
TREND-18 Coppock CurveTrend-5.4%In-7.7%—
CAL-01 Turn of MonthRegime & other-5.4%Out-6.3%—
COMBO-01 Bollinger-Keltner SqueezeVolatility-5.7%In-5.7%—
RP-01 Volatility TargetVolatility-7.0%In-7.0%—
REG-10 HMM Regime DetectionRegime & other-7.7%In-7.7%—
SUPER-01 SupertrendTrend-7.7%In-7.7%—
KC-01 Keltner Channel BreakoutTrend-7.7%In-7.7%—
MR-14 Detrended Price OscillatorMean reversion-8.1%In-9.0%—
TREND-12 MACD StrategyTrend-8.3%In-8.3%—
TURTLE-01 Turtle TradingTrend-8.4%In-8.4%—
TREND-20 Vortex IndicatorTrend-8.7%In-8.7%—
TREND-16 Aroon IndicatorTrend-9.4%In-9.4%—
TREND-15 Darvas BoxTrend-9.4%In-9.4%—
MOM-10 Accelerating MomentumTrend-10.8%In-10.8%—
MR-04 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Mean ReversionMean reversion-11.2%Out-14.7%—
MR-12 Money Flow Index ReversionMean reversion-11.5%Out-13.7%—
SAR-01 Parabolic SARTrend-12.3%In-12.3%—
MR-10 Stochastic Oscillator ReversionMean reversion-12.5%Out-20.4%—
VOL-13 Volatility Regime StrategyVolatility-12.9%In-12.9%—
MR-05 CCI Mean ReversionMean reversion-14.3%Out-18.6%—
RISK-03 Stop Loss OverlayRegime & other-14.6%In-14.6%—
MR-11 Williams %R ReversionMean reversion-14.9%Out-19.6%—
RISK-04 Trailing Stop StrategyTrend-15.8%In-15.8%—
TREND-17 Chandelier ExitTrend-16.5%In-16.5%—
TREND-11 Kaufman Adaptive Moving AverageTrend-17.9%In-17.9%—
MR-07 Hurst-Filtered Mean ReversionMean reversion-18.4%Out-19.5%—
MR-03 Kalman Filter Mean ReversionMean reversion-18.8%Out-19.6%—
MR-15 Ultimate OscillatorMean reversion-18.8%Out-19.5%—
HMA-01 HMA CrossoverTrend-20.2%In-21.3%—
REG-14 Volatility Regime SwitchVolatility-21.0%In-21.0%—
MOM-01 Time-Series MomentumTrend-28.9%In-28.9%—

Sorted by return in the window, best first. "In the market" is inferred from the equity curve (see method). Next 3 months = 63 trading days after the window end.

All event replays · Today's regime on Silver

Method: windows are snapped to the price data, returns come from the published equity curves before costs, and "already out" is inferred from the curve. See the method on the hub page. Historical, descriptive statistics before trading costs. Not a forecast and not investment advice.

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